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COVID19 – Airline traffic update. TSA and China numbers

COVID19 – Airline traffic update. TSA and China numbers

by Brant | Apr 7, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

Numbers from the TSA have shown a substantial reduction in traffic over the last month. The beginning of the month showed almost normal numbers on March 1st. March 31st TSA throughput levels dropped down to 7.22% of the beginning of the month. TSA Throughput numbers...
COVID19 State Comparison Tools

COVID19 State Comparison Tools

by Brant | Apr 3, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

The following tools allow users to compare U.S. State data trends compiled by https://covidtracking.com/. A composite of National numbers National Composite Select an individual state Select a specific State Alaska Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Colorado...
COVID-19 State Analysis/Tracker

COVID-19 State Analysis/Tracker

by Brant | Apr 1, 2020 | Airline, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

Select a state to Analyze Select a State Alaska Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware DC Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri...
COVID19 – updated model (A case for recovery)

COVID19 – updated model (A case for recovery)

by Brant | Mar 28, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

Now that the CARE act has been written into law, the approach for the next 6 months has become more clear for the airlines. For the airlines that choose to access assistance offered by this act, they will not be permitted to layoff or furlough through Sept,...
The cost of staff reductions

The cost of staff reductions

by Brant | Mar 20, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

So lets get down to the nuts and bolts of it. As the world grapples with the uncertainty of COVID-19, many pilots have been talking about furlough concerns. Every airline is different but some things remain the same among carriers and can be used to calculate a...
COVID-19 Chinese Recovery Begins

COVID-19 Chinese Recovery Begins

by Brant | Mar 18, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

OAG Schedules Analyser from https://www.routesonline.com/news/29/breaking-news/290239/analysis-chinas-recovery-continues/ This chart publicized by this article shows the departure seats, (not necessarily the revenue miles) by week. The tan area are Chinese...
Hybrid Model (COVID-19)

Hybrid Model (COVID-19)

by Brant | Mar 16, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

Using the 9/11 L recovery from the COVID-19 Impact Article 2 and the V-shaped recovery from the initial article, coupled with the largest cuts currently posted ( 50% reduction announced across the entire system for United). The model assumes the current cuts follow...
COVID-19 Delta Capacity Cuts

COVID-19 Delta Capacity Cuts

by Brant | Mar 15, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

(Updated: to reflect the effect of cumulative retirements) At the time of this article the following are the current capacity reductions announced publicly by other carriers. These are changing rapidly almost hourly, and it is very difficult to keep up with the...
COVID-19 Pilot Demand Impact – Article 2

COVID-19 Pilot Demand Impact – Article 2

by Brant | Mar 12, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

https://www.bts.gov/archive/publications/special_reports_and_issue_briefs/issue_briefs/number_13/figure_01 Updated: (Model extended to 3 years and adjusted to reflect cumulative impact of pilot retirements, fixed the MAX benefit for southwest) The data from the first...
COVID-19 effects on Pilot demand

COVID-19 effects on Pilot demand

by Brant | Feb 27, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement

From https://articles2.marketrealist.com/2014/10/must-know-sars-impact-airline-industry/ Note – Please see article for a more updated worst case bound/ While it may not be fully known the impact this virus will have on air travel and subsequently pilot demand ,...

Airline Capital and Partnerships

by Brant | Feb 20, 2020 | Airline, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement

Have you ever wondered why Airlines focus so much on alliances and codeshare networks especially in the last few years? Would it seem more rational to keep profits in house rather than allowing them to go to other networks? The answer is “it depends.” We...

Airline Commentary

by Brant | Feb 13, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement

With so much incomplete information in the news and in analyst or financial commentary it was time to start a more regular educational blog about the Aviation and Airline industry. Using better data and fresh perspective provided by the website. Please feel free to...

Legacy International – Domestic Seat Comparison by Seat Width/Pitch

by Brant | Nov 22, 2019 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement, Uncategorized

Was surprised at the results from this brief study, after expecting to see more difference between carriers on seat size. The numbers speak for themselves. They include the avg based off of the number of aircraft in the fleet, the most common aircraft configuration,...

International Carriers – Wide Body Seat Size and Density comparison

by Brant | Oct 11, 2019 | Airline, Commentary

There are no shortage of articles that talk about seat density and cramped quarters on airline aircraft.  As I’ve read each of these industry commentary, data … real data is sparse. So what does the data say? Sources – Airline websites, seat...

The backdrop to the Lion Air and Ethiopian 737 Crashes

by Brant | Sep 24, 2019 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement, Uncategorized

The most comprehensive and informed article on the subject I have seen. The website highly recommends this read to anyone who wants to understand the the nature of the challenges with the 737 MAX. It effectively highlights the challenges poor organizational discipline...
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COVID 19 Stats

TSA Throughput Tracking

Recent Posts

  • findsomethingnew.org August 13, 2020
  • Early Out (VPLOA) comparison among Airlines – Provided by KitDarby.com July 13, 2020
  • SouthWest Pilot Demand – Update June 4, 2020
  • Frontier Pilot Demand Projection updated May 29, 2020
  • A reflective note May 29, 2020
  • United Airline Pilot Demand Projections updated May 27, 2020
  • Upwork May 23, 2020

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