by Brant | Apr 7, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
Numbers from the TSA have shown a substantial reduction in traffic over the last month. The beginning of the month showed almost normal numbers on March 1st. March 31st TSA throughput levels dropped down to 7.22% of the beginning of the month. TSA Throughput numbers...
by Brant | Apr 3, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
The following tools allow users to compare U.S. State data trends compiled by https://covidtracking.com/. A composite of National numbers National Composite Select an individual state Select a specific State Alaska Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Colorado...
by Brant | Apr 1, 2020 | Airline, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
Select a state to Analyze Select a State Alaska Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware DC Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri...
by Brant | Mar 28, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
Now that the CARE act has been written into law, the approach for the next 6 months has become more clear for the airlines. For the airlines that choose to access assistance offered by this act, they will not be permitted to layoff or furlough through Sept,...
by Brant | Mar 20, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
So lets get down to the nuts and bolts of it. As the world grapples with the uncertainty of COVID-19, many pilots have been talking about furlough concerns. Every airline is different but some things remain the same among carriers and can be used to calculate a...
by Brant | Mar 18, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
OAG Schedules Analyser from https://www.routesonline.com/news/29/breaking-news/290239/analysis-chinas-recovery-continues/ This chart publicized by this article shows the departure seats, (not necessarily the revenue miles) by week. The tan area are Chinese...
by Brant | Mar 16, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
Using the 9/11 L recovery from the COVID-19 Impact Article 2 and the V-shaped recovery from the initial article, coupled with the largest cuts currently posted ( 50% reduction announced across the entire system for United). The model assumes the current cuts follow...
by Brant | Mar 15, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
(Updated: to reflect the effect of cumulative retirements) At the time of this article the following are the current capacity reductions announced publicly by other carriers. These are changing rapidly almost hourly, and it is very difficult to keep up with the...
by Brant | Mar 12, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
https://www.bts.gov/archive/publications/special_reports_and_issue_briefs/issue_briefs/number_13/figure_01 Updated: (Model extended to 3 years and adjusted to reflect cumulative impact of pilot retirements, fixed the MAX benefit for southwest) The data from the first...
by Brant | Feb 27, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Demand Modeling and Supply, Pilot Employement
From https://articles2.marketrealist.com/2014/10/must-know-sars-impact-airline-industry/ Note – Please see article for a more updated worst case bound/ While it may not be fully known the impact this virus will have on air travel and subsequently pilot demand ,...
by Brant | Feb 20, 2020 | Airline, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement
Have you ever wondered why Airlines focus so much on alliances and codeshare networks especially in the last few years? Would it seem more rational to keep profits in house rather than allowing them to go to other networks? The answer is “it depends.” We...
by Brant | Feb 13, 2020 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement
With so much incomplete information in the news and in analyst or financial commentary it was time to start a more regular educational blog about the Aviation and Airline industry. Using better data and fresh perspective provided by the website. Please feel free to...
by Brant | Nov 22, 2019 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement, Uncategorized
Was surprised at the results from this brief study, after expecting to see more difference between carriers on seat size. The numbers speak for themselves. They include the avg based off of the number of aircraft in the fleet, the most common aircraft configuration,...
by Brant | Oct 11, 2019 | Airline, Commentary
There are no shortage of articles that talk about seat density and cramped quarters on airline aircraft. As I’ve read each of these industry commentary, data … real data is sparse. So what does the data say? Sources – Airline websites, seat...
by Brant | Sep 24, 2019 | Airline, Airline Pilot Supply, Commentary, Fleet Plans, Pilot Career, Pilot Employement, Uncategorized
The most comprehensive and informed article on the subject I have seen. The website highly recommends this read to anyone who wants to understand the the nature of the challenges with the 737 MAX. It effectively highlights the challenges poor organizational discipline...